UpdateFebruary 8, 2001
Somebody forgot to tell UTEK traders that technology stocks are supposed to be out of favor. The NASDAQ (COMPX) has dropped 93.96 points the past two days, while the shares of UTEK have gained $1.37. We believe that UTEK has a good chance to break through the $34.50 resistance established in September 1997, if the NASDAQ can just muster a couple of days of positive action. Trendline support for UTEK was tested again today, just above $31.00. New positions can probably be added as long as the stock stays above this support, especially if the overall NASDAQ is stable to higher. A breakout above $34.50 on good volume of over 500,000 by midday, could be a good entry point for momentum traders. Be careful, though, the MACD is starting to lose a little luster. Therefore, we will keep a close eye on this technical indicator to make sure it does not issue a sell signal. On the other hand, Money Flow and OBV continue to be outstanding, which indicates that the longer-term uptrend is still intact.
Picked on February 1st @ $32.88
Change since picked +0.87
Stop Loss @ $28.00
February 6, 2001
It was a ho-hum day for technology stocks ahead of Cisco Systems (Nasdaq:CSCO) earnings release. UTEK was pretty much in a holding pattern, although there was an early attempt at a rally. However, there simply was not enough conviction in the market to create a more substantial move. Cisco did disappoint by coming in a penny shy of estimates. However, the stock is only down slightly in after hours trading. If Cisco can avoid any significant damage to its stock on tomorrow's open, tech traders may breathe a collective sigh of relief. If this scenario occurs, we expect UTEK to be a strong performer tomorrow. A good entry point may be when UTEK crosses above today's high of $32.88 on volume of 300,000 in the first hour of trading. A move above $33.44 on volume over one million shares for the day would be very bullish and would likely draw the attention of momentum traders. UTEK possesses one of the strongest MACD's and Money Flows in the entire technology stock universe. If people want to buy technology, they should take a look at UTEK.
Picked on February 1st @ $32.88
Change since picked -0.50
Stop Loss @ $28.00
February 4, 2001
Ultratech Stepper was fantastically strong on Friday, as traders took profits in just about everything else semiconductor related. The PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX.X) dropped 39.60 points or more than 5%, to close at 687.80. In the meantime, UTEK managed to stay within striking distance of its 1997 high of $34.50. A move above this resistance on good intraday volume of 750,000 shares may prove to be an excellent entry point. Otherwise, if technology stocks continue to digest their January gains in the early going this week, we may be better off waiting a day or two to pick up a more favorable price. The RSI is telling us that UTEK is overbought in the short term. The other technical indicators remain outstanding. The MACD, OBV and Money Flow are all strong since money continues to flow into UTEK. A pullback to just above $30.50, which is the 10-DMA, may provide another good next entry point.
Picked on February 1st @ $32.88
Change since picked +0.12
Stop Loss @ $28.00