NEW SPLIT RUN PLAYS
GILTF - Gilat Satellite Networks $84.50 +3.38 (-1.38)
This Israeli Company has been able to stave off much of the
negativity this week. Satellite companies have become major
players in the data transmission revolution and GILTF leads the
charge in the Very Small Aperture Terminal technology which
enables many companies to use satellite based data networking. A
3:1 split was announced in conjunction with the February earnings
report. Earnings were solid as the Company posted profits of
$1.00 per share, which was 3 cents ahead of estimates. If
investors continue to concentrate on companies with solid
fundamentals, GILTF stands a better chance than most of wandering
back up. When the split was announced on February 28th, the
Company stated that the payable date would be within 90 days. The
90 days is up on May 28th and we still do not have a payable date
but obviously one is forthcoming. In the meantime, we will
target the May 15th earnings release date for our exit unless the
payable date comes first. GILTF found some resistance at the 10-
DMA average, closing just below it. The stock seems to be
building a decent base at $80 after falling precipitously from
its highs at $181.50. It seems curious that the correction was
for almost exactly 100 points but traders do like round numbers.
You can pick up shares as long as $80 holds and look for a small
stair-stepping move back up as the earnings approach. One
bullish indicator is the MACD, which appears to be turning up.
Just to reiterate, we will be exiting this position before the
May 15th earnings release or the split payable date, whichever
comes first.
Picked on May 4th @ $84.50
Change since picked 0.00
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LHSP - Lernout & Hauspie $104.31 +1.88 (+7.56)
Time to go after an old friend again. LHSP is a leader in voice
recognition technologies that will hopefully enable us to
interface with our computers, cars and appliances in ways only
imagined by science fiction authors of the past. LHSP recently
picked up a valuable partner, Ford Motor's Visteon parts unit,
and in order to design the next generation of voice enabled
features in the automobile. Projects like these excite
investors. We think that LHSP can stage a rally because earnings
are coming out next week (expected after the market on Tuesday
the 9th, but we will confirm the exact date) and the stock will
split 2:1 on the 12th after the close. Earnings are expected to
be solid for this fast growing Company. The Street is calling
for profits of $0.18. We will continue to focus our efforts on
comeback technology stocks that not only have solid growth
prospects but also are profitable. LHSP is currently hosting a
conference and a think tank to explore the role in the future for
voice recognition technologies. Attendees include
representatives from Dragon Systems and Microsoft. Perhaps the
conference is adding a little excitement into the share price of
LHSP. Technically, LHSP has had a recent history of flopping
around the $100 level. With the stock closing above that
psychological resistance level, we feel that LHSP is poised to
make another move higher. The 5-DMA offers some support at $101
5/8, followed by support at $100. The first level of significant
resistance is the 50-DMA at $107. LHSP struggled with this
resistance during its last comeback and patient investors may
want to wait for a close above $107 before going long. Another
entry strategy could be to attempt to buy bounces off of the $100
level. The MACD, OBV and RSI are all turning up and instill us
with confidence that this could become a nice winning play. We
will be exiting this position in front of earnings, which should
come after Tuesday's close.
Picked on May 4th @ $104.31
Change since picked 0.00
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TXN - TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC $155.50 +3.69 (-7.50)
Howdy Y'all! After a brief dismount, we welcome back Texas
Instruments to our split run play list. Today, the Texas
chipmaker that is the number one manufacturer of computer chips
for cellular phones, made further advances in their industry. The
Company issued a press release announcing the availability of its
high burn-in test solution for memory and logic IC's that use an
ultrafine 0.5mm-pitch chip scale package. This new technological
advancement will be used in wireless devices such as cell phones
and personal digital devices, which increasingly rely on fine-
pitch semiconductors to achieve high performance. The Company is
now less than three weeks away from their 2:1 split scheduled for
May 22nd. Today, the stock held at the 10-dma on lower than
average volume at 4.4 million shares. We are anticipating another
run going into the split. Barring any extremely negative economic
news Friday, we would like to see volume return back to over 5.5
million shares and the momentum move higher. An intra-day bounce
off the buck fifty mark ($150) or a profound move through $160 on
good volume would be good entry points. Plan any new positions
carefully around the economic data released Friday.
Additionally, the Dow is resting on the 10,400 level and the
NASDAQ at 3,740. The NASDAQ will need to cross through 3760 and
the DOW 10,480 to prove themselves. Use the momentum of these two
indexes as your guide before establishing a bullish play. Plan
to exit in front of the payable date for the split.
Picked on May 4th @ $155.50
Change since picked 0.00
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NEW SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAYS
EMLX - Emulex Corp. $62.63 +4.63 (+17.25)
With a move that has seen EMLX nearly double from its correction
lows, EMLX is our disaster play dujour. EMLX lost an incredible
189 points from its highs in a very short span of time. This is
a good Company, and surprise, they have earnings and they sport a
more reasonable PE of 80. There is certainly a fair amount of
overhead resistance as investors who failed to exit are going to
be thrilled to get out anywhere close to what they paid for their
shares. EMLX has proprietary technology that enables companies
to satisfy their ever-growing data storage needs through fibre
channel networks. If there is one truth about the technology
revolution it is that there is a voracious appetite for data and
EMLX will be there to make the use and storage of vast amounts of
data possible. One technical aspect about EMLX that intrigues us
is the huge gap from $78 to $64. EMLX is very close to
attempting to close that gap and if the stock closes above
$64.38, it seems very likely that the stock will rally to at
least $78. We have no problem going after percentage moves such
as these. If the rally fails, look for support at $60. The MACD
is turning up and relative strength is still strongly oversold.
We do not have any immediate pending reasons to exit this
position.
Picked on May 4th @ $62.63
Change since picked 0.00
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MXIM - Maxim Integrated Products Inc. $67.25 +3.12 (+2.44)
Is the future analog or digital? Either way, Maxim stands to
benefit. By producing and designing products for real-world
occurrences, Maxim Integrated (MXIM) is a leading provider of
analog and digital devices for measuring temperature, pressure
and speed. Still confused? Simply put, these circuits are used
in disk drives, battery rechargers and data recorders. Demand
for these products has caused a steady increase in stock prices.
Currently trading in the area of its most recent split, we feel
the company may soon seek to increase the number of authorized
shares for a split to follow. Presently, the company currently
has 277.6 million shares outstanding and 480 million shares
authorized. To add excitement to the play, the stock will be
added to the S&P 500 on Tuesday, May 9th after the close. We've
already seen some heavy volume and we should expect more as the
index funds will have no choice, they have to buy the stock for
the proper weighting into the index. This could give an
immediate boost to prices, which have found consolidation in a
tight 4-day range. Our resistance points will be initially set at
the top of the current consolidation range ($68.44) and will
follow at $70, then the all-time high of $74.50. Look to open new
positions if the stock can break through resistance areas. As
for support, look for $65, which is the 50-dma. Lower down is
the 10-dma at $63.60. If prices should drop through this level,
then anticipate support at $60 to be more firm. Our target is
the S&P addition on May 9th. After that, we'll be going on chart
indications for our buy/sell signals. Be sure to use stops to
protect your profits or limit losses.
Picked on May 4th @ $67.25
Change since picked 0.00
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TIBX - TIBCO Software $89.61 +6.48 (+0.55)
Creating and marketing top-tier business software solutions has
helped TIBCO (TIBX) to command a large share of this unique
market. After receiving a steady boost in revenues from post Y2K
worries, the company has continued to add more business partners
and customer channels for future growth. The rapid influx of B2B
transactions has also provided the company with strong demand for
eBusiness infrastructure software solutions. As for the company's
capital structure, they currently have 188.8 million shares
outstanding and 1.2 billion shares authorized with a float of
22.7 million. Though presently not in pre-split territory, we
feel that if momentum continues to push prices higher, a split is
certainly possible. As for the chart, shares have recovered
nicely from their April lows ($37.38) and have advanced sharply
to the 50-dma ($95.77). A break through this level, when
accompanied by good volume (1.7m or better) could send prices to
more resistance at the century mark. On the downside, expect to
see initial support along the $80 mark (10-dma at $80.87), with
stronger support to follow at the $70 level, bolstered by the 20-
dma of $70.57. Swift bounces off support, when combined with good
volume, should provide us with a low-risk entry. Also, consider
strength in the NASDAQ composite to confirm entry points. We'll
plan on exiting ahead of the earnings report of 6/19, as is our
normal policy.
Picked on May 4th @ $89.61
Change since picked 0.00
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SPLIT RUN PLAY UPDATES
ANEN - Anaren Microwave Inc. $105.00 +2.12 (+1.00)
Will somebody please turn up the volume? Today Anaren Microwave
mirrored the NASDAQ and traded with extremely low volume, less
than half of normal. When in doubt, stay out was the theme today.
With speculation of the Fed raising interest rates by 50 basis
points at its next meeting, nobody was willing to take any
chances. ANEN is in the business of complex microwave signal
distribution for the wireless, satellite and defense electronics
markets. In June, ANEN will effect their second stock split
since going public in 1984. The stock managed to squeak out a
gain today in light of the low volume and closed right on the 5-
dma at $105. Support can be found back at the century mark.
Intra-day, the stock has been pulling back to $97-$98 and then
making a late afternoon run. Be careful when placing trades with
such light volume as trade executions can be slow due to lack of
liquidity. Resistance is still up around $110. Plan your plays
with caution as the anxiety about inflation reports and the
upcoming FOMC meeting continue to build.
Picked on May 2nd @ $103.25
Change since picked +1.75
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EBAY - eBay Incorporated $136.94 -3.06 (-22.25)
Being the world's largest online auction community has allowed
EBAY to grow almost unchallenged, broadening its presence on a
global scale. As of the end of 1999, the Company had grown to
over 10 million registered users, with more than 3 million
products for sale. Though a well-known stock, EBAY's shares have
come under some selling pressure lately. News that EBAY's
chairman plans to sell $63.6 million in stock hasn't helped
matters either. Selling lower over the last 2 days, shares have
slipped back near the lower end of their consolidation range
($132). Look for sharp bounces off this level to generate
potential entries, when accompanied by good volume (3.0m shares
or better). On the upside, the stock should initially encounter
some resistance at the 200-dma ($147.05), before a further
advance would meet additional resistance at the top of the
consolidation range ($164). Be aware that the 100-dma of $159.88
could also pose a problem, prior to prices reaching $164. Look
for guidance from the Internet sector as well as the NASDAQ
Composite before opening a new play.
Picked on May 2nd @ $143.38
Change since picked -6.44
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JNPR - Juniper Networks Inc. $183.00 -11.87 (-29.68)
Charity, valuations and the Fed, take your pick for today's
selling of JNPR. Today the California provider of high-
performance IP networking systems announced it was forming a
Charitable Fund valued at 10 Million dollars. The company will
take a one time charge of .04 cents per share ($10 million) in
the second quarter for establishing the fund. Investors weren't
in the giving mood though. It's a surprising move from a company
that is just getting on its feet and in the middle of a bear
market. Perhaps it was just good old fashion profit taking,
regardless, the stock closed down on bigger volume. The stock
closed just below the 100-dma and has light support at $180.
Below that we could see a retest of the April lows. Resistance
is overhead at the double century mark. Watch for the two
economic numbers, the non-farm payroll and the unemployment rate
index for market direction. A hard bounce off $180 on good
volume would make a nice entry point. With the split better than
a month away, consider multiple entries by taking profits and
then getting back in later, in order to ride out the waves of
this market.
Picked on April 27th @ $208.94
Change since picked (-25.94)
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SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAY UPDATES
AMAT - Applied Materials $97.75 +3.25 (-4.06)
Applied Materials has spent the last 2 weeks basing in the $90-
$105 range. The stock tested support on Wednesday with an intra-
day dip to $90 but bounced firmly, closing the day with a small
loss on the session. The chip sector has been hot for most of the
year and the market leaders also lead to the downside when a
market selloff occurs. Fortunately, they often bounce back
quickly when the market recovers. On Thursday, shares of AMAT
opened in positive territory and closed above the 20-dma on
strong volume. Momentum should return to the stock as we are just
4 sessions away from their earnings release on 5/10 after the
bell. The Company is trading well below the previous split
price, but we still may see a split announcement since any stock
trading over or near $100 is a target for a split. We've seen a
recent trend of companies adjusting their split prices downward
to reflect a more realistic market environment. Besides, if we
get an anticipatory run into the earnings report, but the Company
doesn't announce a split, it won't have any bearing on our play.
We'll be exiting just before the earnings report anyway. Until
then, the stock has support just above Thursday's low at $94 with
stronger support at $90. Place stops under $90 to limit losses.
Resistance remains at the century mark and $105. Open new
positions on a bounce off of $95 or a move above $100. Be sure
to confirm an upside bias in the market before entering new
positions. Earnings are scheduled for 5/10 after the market, be
sure to close positions by that time.
Picked on Apr 30th @ $101.81
Change since picked -4.06
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AMD - Advanced Micro Devices $90.00 +2.25 (+3.00)
"What me worry"? Those are the immortal words of Alfred E.
Neuman, MAD Magazine poster boy. The market could use a little
humor about now as fear of the evil Darth Greenspan's Fed meeting
approaches. In the face of today's lower volume and worry, AMD
just keeps on plugging, tacking on another couple points. Chips
and Biotechs were the rave today with the SOX index gaining 1.6%.
Despite Wednesday's downgrade of AMD by Josephthal & Co. to a
'hold' and a deal with privately held company HotRail postponed,
AMD shrugged off the news with a small loss on the day on lower
than normal volume. The company's shareholder meeting is still 3
weeks away with plenty of opportunity for a pre-split
announcement run. Thursday, the stock closed just above the 5-dma
at $88.60, which is now the support/consolidation area.
Resistance continues to be the new high level recently achieved
at $92.38. We want to see volume increase back up to over 5
million shares and the old high taken out, in order to confirm an
entry point for new plays. An intra day bounce off $85 would be a
good entry as well. Plan any new trades very carefully around the
economic news coming out Friday and the Fed meeting next Tuesday.
Suggested stop remains at $82.
Picked on April 16th @ $66.00
Change since picked +24.50
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BRCD - Brocade Communication Systems $118.00 +3.25 (-6.00)
Playing a leadership role in the high-growth Internet technology
market has enabled Brocade to generate a large following among
its peers. Analysts have also been quick to point out the strong
growth prospects for BRCD. Most recent were the comments made by
Paul Johnson, analyst at Robertson Stephens, who stated, "We
believe Brocade will post another strong quarterly upside
surprise for the fiscal second quarter". He went on to mention
that strong demand for the company's low cost switches should
also add strength to second quarter results. As these comments
suggest, good fundamental data is also playing a role in our
earnings play. As for the stock, a breathtaking intra-day decline
of 20.88 points on Wednesday definitely challenged the faint of
heart. However, before the close, shares did manage to re-gain
8.75 points and close above the 100-dma of $113.06. Opening
higher today, shares did an intra-day retest of the 100-dma,
confirming its support. Additional support should be light at
$110 and heavy at the century mark, although you might want to
place a stop under the $110 level to limit additional downside.
On the upside, we expect prices to first retest resistance at
$120 before moving higher to test $130 and then sturdy resistance
at $140, bolstered by the 50-dma or $139.38. Look to open
positions when prices reverse swiftly from support or advance
through resistance on good volume. Also, incorporate trailing
stops to maintain profits.
Picked on April 27th @ $115.00
Change since picked +3.00
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CHKP - Check Point Software Technologies $188.62 +13.19 (+15.63)
A new virus = a new threat to the Internet, which leads to a
rally in the shares of CHKP. We have seen this pattern before
and it is likely to continue. The second any concern about
Internet security occurs, investors start buying CHKP due to the
correct notion that sales will increase proportionately to the
number of perceived or real threats to Internet systems. "The
Love Bug" has swept through worldwide systems and poses a real
threat to hard drives and e-mail servers. CHKP closed above the
important resistance of $185 today and indications are for a
sustained rally. If you followed our Tuesday recommendation, you
may be sitting on some nice profits after picking up the stock
around yesterday's lower range in the high $160's. Do not be
afraid to take profits if the stock rallies to resistance near
$200, since this market could easily swing in either direction
and suddenly rob you of all your profits. The last move saw the
shares of CHKP close just above the 50-DMA before falling back.
That moving average now sits at $196.25 and will probably be a
pivot point. There is a little support at the 5-DMA at $178.25.
Picked on April 27th @ $179.00
Change since picked +9.62
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CMGI - CMGI Inc. $63.06 +1.00 (-8.19)
CMGI continues to trade in 10% intraday trading ranges but has
failed to make a meaningful move in either direction as the stock
appears to be going through a mini consolidation during these low
volume days. Today did see the expected unveiling of AltaVista's
new and improved search engine. The new service called "Raging
Search" produced the highest scores ever on the ZD Labs Relevancy
Test. AltaVista's leadership in this field should help the stock
performance of its parent, CMGI. The 5-DMA has provided
resistance at $65.50 the past two days. If CMGI is going to
resume its advance it will have to change this pattern soon. On
the plus side, the MACD still appears to trending up and
indicates some more upside potential for CMGI. Relative Strength
Indicator is still in the bottom third of its range, indicating a
slightly oversold condition. On Balance Volume is still strongly
negative as volume has generally been drying up in most stocks.
You can try and go long on continued bounces at today's low of
$61. Perhaps it would be prudent to wait for a break above
$65.50 before going long.
Picked on April 27th @ $66.19
Change since picked -3.13
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INKT - Inktomi Corporation $147.23 +2.05 (+6.70)
Creating a unique recipe for future success in infrastructure
software, INKT announced today that it had signed a major
agreement with Nokia, the world's largest manufacturer of
cellular phones. The agreement will set the stage for delivery of
next-generation wireless data services and applications to both
current and third generation networks. "Today's announcement
further solidifies Inktomi's position to develop the software
platform to deliver the next wave of content and commerce
services for the mobile generation," stated David Peterschmidt,
President and CEO at Inktomi. Shares responded positively to the
news and gave us a great opportunity to make intra-day profits.
Opening right at our mentioned resistance level of $150, shares
ran up to the 50-dma where stiff opposition was encountered. This
provided us an excellent opportunity to lock in gains. For future
advances at this mark, shares will once again have to re-gain
resistance (previously support) at the century and a half mark,
bolstered by the 5-dma ($151.34). As for support, look to the 20-
dma ($137.35) to be light and more potency to follow at the 100-
dma ($132.34). Consider waiting for prices to bounce off of
support before initiating a new position.
Picked on April 25th @ $141.94
Change since picked +5.28
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LSCC - Lattice Semiconductor $61.19 +0.56 (-6.19)
We are still waiting for a split from Lattice Semiconductor. The
Company held its Annual Shareholder Meeting on Tuesday but we did
not get a split announcement. As expected, some investors were
disappointed and took profits during the selloff on Wednesday,
taking the stock down to an intra-day low of $59.25 before making
a comeback late in the day. The stock held its ground on Thursday
as the NASDAQ churned in a tight range. We are now looking for a
split announcement from LSCC at their next BoD meeting or with
their next earnings release in July. LSCC finished up its well-
received presentation at the 'Hardware Heaven' conference on
Wednesday, sponsored by Merrill Lynch. Going forward, light
support has come in at $60 with stronger support at $57. Set
stops under $57 as protection. Resistance is now the 20-dma at
$63 and then $70. Use a bounce off of $60 or a move above $63 on
heavy volume to start new plays. Confirm market sentiment and
sector momentum before initiating new positions. Look for an exit
in the session following a split announcement or in front of the
earnings release in July.
Picked on April 23rd @ $62.94
Change since picked -1.75
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PMCS - PMC Sierra Inc $172.00 +2.88 (-19.88)
PMC Sierra today announced the introduction of the Industry's
most Integrated CMOS OC-48c Physical Layer/Framer Device. The new
PM5381 S/UNI-2488 physical framer device integrates the digital
framer and processor functions together with complete analog
physical layer front-end clock and data recovery. Whew! That's
some heavy technical jargon. In layman terms, this new
technology adds to their already large presence in broadband
communication and is enabling the equipment that makes up the
backbone of the Internet. The company held an analyst meeting
today also, but we haven't heard any news from the meeting yet.
Maybe some analysts will say something positive on Friday.
During Thursday's trading, the stock hit a high of $179.94 before
cooling off to $166 by lunch. The afternoon session saw a mild
comeback to the close on average volume of about 5 million
shares. While chip stocks were in the limelight again today, the
record low volume on the NASDAQ squelched any serious gains. The
stock bounced off the 20-dma average before closing just above
the 10-dma. Support is at $170 with resistance above at $180,
which is the 5-dma, then at the 50-dma at $190. The nice run up
from the April low just may entice further profit taking Friday,
be mindful of the economic reports due out and confirm new plays
with market direction. Place stops under support levels, based
upon your entry point and risk tolerance.
Picked on April 27th @ $182.62
Change since picked -10.62
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XLNX - Xilinx $66.75 -0.06 (-6.50)
XLNX is becoming a frustrating play because the stock keeps
dropping just below our suggested stop price and consequently
rallies back. Short term trading can be a tricky business. We
are going to keep this play because if the market springs back to
life, XLNX is very likely to be an outperformer due to its
leadership role in the Semiconductor Industry and its widely
acclaimed products. Tech stocks were widely pounded yesterday
and XLNX was not spared. This is the third time that XLNX has
pulled back within its comeback rally. We will give XLNX one
more chance to climb higher and take out $75. There are a couple
of slightly negative technical indicators, so be careful. On
Balance Volume is dropping, the MACD momentum indicator crossed
back over into negative territory and the Relative Strength
Indicator looks more likely to test the oversold level before any
test of the overbought level. If we have a fourth down day in a
row tomorrow, XLNX may be on the way to a retest of the $55 low.
On the plus side, XLNX is still in an up-trending channel and if
the stock rallies tomorrow, then it has probably established the
lower end of the channel and the stock will move higher. You can
buy the stock if it can stay above today's low print of $63.50.
There is some resistance at the convergence of the 5 and 10-DMA's
at $69.
Picked on April 25th @ $70.38
Change since picked -3.63
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YHOO - Yahoo! $124.19 +2.12 (-6.06)
Yahoo! is searching for direction as the broader markets
consolidate. On Thursday, Yahoo! Europe and CellPoint Systems AB,
a subsidiary of CellPoint Inc. (CLPT), announced an agreement to
co-market a person-to-person locator service for mobile phones.
The service, called `Yahoo! Find-A-Friend' allows users to
pinpoint the location of friends or colleagues they are trying to
contact. Also in the news, Wit SoundView upgraded YHOO to "strong
buy" from "buy" and set a $170 price target on the stock. All of
this news had a limited effect on the stock. Shares of YHOO
traded as high as $127 but reversed direction and closed the day
with a $2.19 gain. It appears that the stock is basing going into
the economic data and the Company's Annual Shareholders Meeting
on 5/12. At the meeting, shareholders will vote on an increase in
the number of authorized shares and we are holding for a split
announcement (albeit a remote chance at this level) out of the
Annual Meeting. In the meantime, support is holding at $120 with
stronger support just underneath Wednesday's low at $116. Place
stops under $116 to minimize losses. Resistance continues to hold
at the 200-dma, now down to $128. Look for a bounce off of $120
or a break above $130 on heavy volume to open new positions.
Confirm market momentum and sector direction before starting new
plays.
Picked on April 18th @ $126.69
Change since picked -2.50
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SPLIT RUN PLAY DROPS
GE - General Electric $154.00 -2.06 (-3.25)
A very negative move for blue chip stocks ahead of Friday's
Employment numbers squashed the split run for GE. The early week
relative strength in GE disappeared and we took a small loss. If
you are still holding the stock for the split, you may yet see a
final dash on the stock if the INDU can just mount a positive
day. GE is a widely held stock and we believe that a large
number of investors would like to own it now and after the split
when it trades at a more affordable level. The payable date is
Friday, so we are exiting according to our normal strategy. The
stock begins trading split adjusted on Monday.
Picked on May 2nd @ $161.06
Profit/Loss -7.06 (-4%)
Best Profit -1.06 (-1%)
| |
ZOMX - Zomax Incorporated $39.75 -3.75 (-7.56)
Experiencing some noteworthy selling pressure the last few days,
ZOMX has yielded a significant drop from its highs made earlier
in the week. Closing just below its 200-dma ($39.85), shares
showed little resistance to this level and may be an indication
of near-term weakness. Given the fact that volume was also
relatively strong (467k shares), we are choosing to close our
position one day ahead of our scheduled exit. We'll keep a close
watch on the future developments of Zomax, as we feel the company
should provide us with ample opportunities in the future.
Picked on April 23rd @ $42.94
Profit/Loss = -3.19 (-7%)
Best Profit = +6.06 (+14%)
| |
BRCM - Broadcom $175.31 -0.63 (+2.94)
We waited and waited, but still no split announcement following
the shareholders meeting on 4/27. Tuesday, the company introduced
a new fiber optics-ready chip. Following the Tuesday morning
announcement, market makers held the price up all day during
Tuesday's selloff, but they opened the floodgates to sellers on
Wednesday, beating the stock down to an intra-day low of $165 and
triggering our stops at $173.88 along the way. Due to the non-
split event and the stock hitting our stop price, we are dropping
this play tonight. If you are still in BRCM, the stock is showing
some relative strength in this market, so look for support levels
to hold with a possible stop just below $170.
Picked on Apr 23rd @ $152.50
Profit/Loss = +21.38 (+14%) (Stopped out Wednesday @ $173.88)
Best Profit = +34.75 (+23%)
| |
SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAY DROPS
GM - General Motors Corporation $88.12 +0.06 (-7.06)
Unfortunately, we added this play during what could be the last
leg up for GM as several analysts came out yesterday and stated
their belief that all of the good news about GM's planned
spinnoff of their remaining "H" class stock is already priced
into the shares of GM. We are not going to fight this sentiment
change, because the uptrend of the stock is now broken.
Picked on May 2nd @ $93.38
Profit/Loss = -5.26 (-6%)
Best Profit = +1.25 (+1%)
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LVLT - Level 3 Communications $82.13 +0.50 (-6.88)
Level 3 Communications had a rough day on Wednesday. The stock
traded down to an intra-day low of $79.38 on heavy volume. We had
stops in at $80 and were stopped out at $79.88. As we said on
Tuesday, we would drop LVLT if trades below $80, so tonight, we
are dropping this play, as the stock has fallen below its 20-dma.
If you did not get stopped out, set tight stops under $81 and
plan to exit on strength tomorrow.
Picked on Apr 18th @ $82.50
Profit/Loss = -2.62 (-3%) (stopped out Wednesday @ $94.38)
Best Profit = +11.88 (+14%)
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TER - Teradyne $104.94 +4.75 (-5.06)
Teradyne could not fight off the massive selling we saw in the
markets yesterday and consequently we were stopped out as the
$100 support could not hold. The subsequent quick rally back
above $100 places TER right back on our watch list for a possible
play. Hopefully, some of you left your trailing stop at $105 and
you locked in some profits. If you are still holding the stock,
we are encouraged by the strong comeback to hold over $100. Use
a close under $100 as a signal to exit your position.
Picked on April 25th @ $103.38
Profit/Loss = -3.51 (-3%) (stopped out Wednesday at $99.87)
Best Profit = +12.06 (+12%)
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