BMET - Biomet $38.19 +0.88 (-0.25)
This week's huge market swings have essentially left Biomet
unchanged for the week. We think that Biomet is one of the
stronger stocks out there, and if this comeback rally in the
market can keep going, we could have a winner on our hands. On
December 13th, the company is expected to report earnings of
$0.29, which will be four pennies above the earnings reported for
the same quarter a year ago. The growth can be attributed to
technological advancements leading to new product introductions,
as well as an aging population that increasingly needs orthopedic
therapy to treat bones that become more brittle with age. There
is some concern that Biomet may be fairly priced with a P/E of
55.34. However, with so many stocks in technical breakdown
patterns, Biomet is one of the few stocks that possesses a healthy
chart. On the plus side, the stock closed today just slightly
below its high print of the day. The pullback will likely be over
if the stock can trade above today's high of $38.31 tomorrow. If
that happens, then the all time high of $40.25 will likely be
tested. Longer-term support is still provided by the 50-DMA at
$34.06 and we will maintain our stop just below this level at
$33.00. The RSI is no longer in overbought territory. Therefore,
the stock could be ready to stage a run into new high ground
without the resistance of an overbought condition. Additionally,
On-Balance Volume (OBV) is still strong, which tells us that
Biomet still has the opportunity to rally from here. If we are
not stopped out of this position, we will exit right after a split
announcement or just before the December 13th earnings release.
Picked on October 31st @ $36.19
Change since picked +2.00
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CEFT - Concord EFS $41.06 +0.69 (-0.13)
Concord EFS, a leading provider of ATM card and credit card
authorization services, is still consolidating. Shares of CEFT
traded down on Monday, hitting an intra-day low of $38.81 before
rebounding to a close of $40.38 on average volume. On Tuesday,
CEFT rallied along with the rest of the market, but the stock
reversed directions after hitting resistance at the 5-dma. Going
forward, support is the 20-dma at $40.56 with stronger support at
$38.81, Monday's intra-day low. Resistance is the 5-dma of $42.31
and then the November 10 intra-day high of $43.06. We plan to
start new plays on a bounce off of $40.56 or a move above $42.31
on volume of at least 1 million shares by midday. Our stops remain
at $37 to minimize risk.
Picked on October 31st @ $41.31
Change since picked -0.25
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SEIC - SEI Investments Company $87.94 +0.13 (+2.38)
Driven by business growth in the asset management and technology
segments, SEIC has successfully increased its revenues by a
compounded annual rate of 23% over the past three years. The
company is expected to improve its sales growth to 34% this year,
reflecting the company's success in growing managed assets. In
2001, revenue growth is expected to slow to around 27%, as
consolidation in the banking industry will likely offset profits.
Still, the company leads the sector in revenue growth by 10%. For
our play, the stock has maintained its tight range this week on
light volume near the $88 mark. Since the beginning of the month,
SEIC has held in this consolidation zone and will need to close
above it ($90.75) to signal a breakout. Yesterday's sharp bounce
off $85 reconfirmed resistance at the lower end of this range and
will continue to be a good entry point for future retracements. To
protect us against a fall below this level, continue to keep a
firm stop at $84. Still, we think there is ample room on the
upside for the stock to run. With that said, we'll look above the
upper congestion zone for the all time high of $92.25 to offer an
initial test, with tougher opposition to follow at $95 and $100.
Good daily volume of 400 thousand shares traded will help to
validate low-risk entry points, when SEIC bounces sharply from
support or advances above resistance.
Picked on November 12th @ $90.25
Change since picked -2.31
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