NEW SPLIT RUN PLAYS
CHINA - China.com $110.00 +3.50 (-18.11)
China.com Corporation is a Pan-Pacific Internet company. The
Company owns a network of portals that deliver information and
access to content, community and commerce Chinese language
audiences. The network focuses on local portal services for the
Greater China region. The stock went public in July of last year
with very little fanfare. Late in November, shares of CHINA began
to take off. The stock hit a split adjusted all-time high of $156
last week after announcing a 2:1 split. Following the
announcement, the stock fell to a relative low of $104.19 in
Wednesday's sell-off. The stock appears to have found a bottom and
we believe it is starting to make a split run into the April 28th
General Meeting, when the shareholders will vote on the proposed
split. Shares of CHINA have support just above Wednesday's low, at
$105. There should be additional support at the 50-dma of $103.
Since starting to trade, the stock has failed to break below the
50-dma. The 50-dma is bolstered by strong psychological support
at $100. Resistance is $113 (5-dma) and then $120. Start new plays
on a bounce off of $103 or a breakout above $113 on strong volume.
Confirm market sentiment and sector momentum before opening new
positions. We will look to exit in front of the payable date,
once it is set.
Picked on Mar 16th @ $110.00
Change since picked +0.00
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CMRC - Commerce One $222.52 +16.52 (-35.04)
The goal of e-commerce is to lower the overall costs of
transactions by minimizing inefficiencies tied to phone and faxed
based processes, as well as providing a centralized area for
buyers and sellers to meet. One look at the chart will tell you
if e-commerce is achieving this goal. The latest estimates for the
industry indicate that business to business (B2B) Internet
transactions will grow from $145 billion in 1999, to $7.3 trillion
in 2004. Today the company was upgraded to a strong buy by
E*Offerings. Reasons sited for the upgrade were CMRC's addition of
two new hubs in China and South Africa, which will further expand
its already large business with top multinational companies. Just
last week, (3/13) the board of directors announced a 2:1 payable
on 4/19. The stock's first split performance was incredible,
gaining 93% between the announcement and the split payable date.
Thursday, the stock participated in a strong rebound in the B2B
sector, reversing an early decline to finish at $222.52. If this
upward trend continues, then some resistance is at the 10-dma
($242.21). Beyond this marker, $250 will likely show some
resistance as well. Remember to watch for strong volume, which can
help to verify the underlying strength of the move, prior to
opening new positions. Other entry points include light support at
$220, better at $210, or if the price re-tests support at $200,
bolstered by the 30-dma of $201.63, and then gives a hard bounce
upward. More support also lies further down at $196. Organize your
exit strategies prior to the payable date of 4/19.
Picked on Feb 16th @ $222.52
Change since picked 0.00
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ENGA - Engage Technologies $126.00 +4.00 (-23.00)
Engage provides products and services that allow clients to create
and use profiles of individual web visitors. Their products help
in the delivery of targeted advertisements, content and e-commerce
offerings. The Company is one of the many holdings of Internet
giant CMGI (CMGI). The stock started trading on the NASDAQ in July
on 1999 and has performed wonderfully. Shares hit an all-time high
on 3/7 in anticipation of earnings and a split announcement. The
Board of Directors set a 2:1 stock split, payable on April 3rd.
Shortly after the announcement, the stock traded down, hitting a
low of $116.13 on Thursday morning. However, shares of ENGA made a
strong comeback and managed to finish the day with a 4-point gain.
The bounce today and the huge decline in the stock price have put
ENGA on our split run list. The stock bounced hard off of $116
today, establishing that level as strong support, although higher
support should be expected at the 50-dma of $124. Resistance is
$130 with heavier resistance at $140. Use a bounce off of the 50-
dma or a move above $130 to open new positions. Confirm sector
momentum and market direction before starting new plays. Exit by
3/31
Picked on Mar 16th @ $126.00
Change since picked +0.00
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MOT - Motorola, Inc. $151.75 +0.88 (-23.25)
You would be hard pressed for a better pure play on two of the
hottest sectors of the market; semiconductors and wireless
communications. Throw in a split and you have the makings of what
could become a profitable play. Even though the 3:1 split was
announced way back in February, the Company will wait for a
shareholder meeting on May 1st to vote for an increase in
authorized shares to effect the split. After the annual meeting
they will split the stock on June 1st. Earlier this week, an
analyst from Warburg Dillon Read repeated his buy rating on the
Company, perhaps to re-assure investors that the heavy selling in
the market was unjustified in the case of MOT. If MOT is truly
oversold, we may be getting in at just the right time as MOT
shares are sitting right on support of $150. The early selling in
the shares could have been the final capitulation. Either way, we
are more comfortable making a play on a major Blue Chip tech stock
when attempting to catch a market rebound. Battered and bruised
traders really like familiar names. It might be a good idea to
buy MOT on a flat to slightly up opening. If you want to be
patient you could wait for a close above $162 resistance before
going long. There is excellent support at $146, which may be a
good entry point on another downdraft.
Picked on Mar 16th @ $151.75
Change since picked 0.00
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NEW SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAYS
BRCM - Broadcom $212.81 +24.88 (-30.25)
Broadcom Corporation is a leading provider of highly integrated
silicon solutions that enable broadband digital data transmission.
The Company has designed and developed integrated circuits for
some of the most significant broadband communications equipment,
including cable set-top boxes, cable modems, high-speed
networking, digital broadcast satellite and terrestrial digital
broadcast and xDSL. This stock has been soaring ever since it went
public two years ago. The Company recently performed a 2:1 stock
split. We feel that the Company will announce another split in the
near future or with their next earnings release in April. They
currently have enough shares for a 3:2 split, but the Company has
its Annual Shareholder meeting coming up and they may decide on a
2:1 split, pending shareholder approval. The stock has been abused
lately, although it did turn in an impressive gain on Thursday.
Support is now the 20-dma at $209. Strong support may be at $200
or even as low as $180 if the market turns ugly again. Resistance
is $225 (10-dma is at $226) and then $240. Start new plays on a
bounce off of $208 or a strong move above $225 on heavy volume.
Only play in a rising market. Plan to exit in front of earnings in
April or following a split announcement if it comes sooner.
Picked on Mar 16th @ $212.81
Change since picked +0.00
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CHKP - Check Point Software $219.13 +10.44 (-60.75)
As people rely more and more on the Internet and computer software
to store important financial and/or personal information, there
will always be someone lurking out there to get it. CHKP is a
leading provider in the rapidly growing field of Internet and
network security software (I.E. Firewalls). With the steady growth
of the Internet, this industry has great potential. The Firewall
market is expected to rise 40% over the next few years. Total
revenues for this group were a meager $15.0 million in 1997, while
2001 is expected to skyrocket to $1.2 billion. This gives us a
pretty good idea of the kind of momentum this sector is
experiencing; stock prices have followed! Currently, the shares
are trading above their last split-level of $192.81. Although
there are only 74.4 million shares outstanding versus 95 million
authorized, the current price level suggests good potential for an
upcoming split once additional shares are authorized. This stock
has been on a tear all year, showing few signs of weakness. Some
weakness did occur this week, in stride with the market sell off.
We feel this once again offers us an opportunity to catch a bounce
and play this stock for an anticipatory split announcement run.
Today's $31.13 bounce from the low showed great recovery strength
and may mark a quick turnaround. Upside resistance for the move
will likely come at $250, bolstered by both the 5 and 10-dma
($244.55 - $248.39). Look to find good price support at the $200
mark, reinforced by a 30-dma of $203.46. Further down, expect to
see some support at $190, the level from which the stock bounced
today. If the stock does seek support at the 30-dma or $200,
confirm a bounce on good volume before initiating new plays.
Otherwise, look to initiate new plays on a move above today's high
of $220. We will keep you apprised as to any news of a BofD or
Shareholder's meeting, either of which might trigger an
announcement.
Picked on Mar 16th @ $219.13
Change since picked 0.00
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HWP - Hewlett-Packard $133.00 +1.00 (-13.94)
Who hasn't heard of HP? With such a stellar reputation for their
products and services, when you hear HP mentioned, you know it
must be good. HWP continues its steady growth, marked by revenue
increases of 20%, beating the industry average by 8%. HWP has been
able to sustain these strong increases based upon their steady
flow of attractive new product offerings. One such offering was
released today. The HP 9000 n-class, a server used for e-commerce
solutions, is currently the fastest server on the market. What's
more? HWP has a newly developed e-commerce strategy for its own
operations. This will further improve transaction efficiency,
yielding higher gross profit margins for their business. As for
the stock, it has easily outperformed the market so far this year
and is also in range of another split. The Company currently has
1.0 Billion shares outstanding with 4.8 Billion authorized. This
tends to further our belief that we are on the heels of another
possible split announcement. HWP's strong bounce off intraday lows
also managed to come off an important price support level of $124
(50-dma). Future bounces off this level will be an excellent point
for opening new positions. Further support will likely be found at
$118. If prices continue to regain lost ground, look to $140 for
the next level of resistance. The 5 and 10-dma's ($139.64 and
$141.91) give credence to this resistance level. Beyond this
level, $150 offers more resistance. Look for volume to remain
strong on moves through resistance before opening new plays. Look
for an announcement with the mid-May earnings, if not beforehand.
Look to exit in front of earnings unless an announcement comes out
beforehand.
Picked on Mar 16th @ $133.00
Change since picked 0.00
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RIMM - Research In Motion Limited $139.06 +19.00 (+4.06)
We searched long and hard to find a split candidate that was
actually up for the week. We feel that the best opportunities lie
in investing in stocks with the greatest relative strength. This
designer and maker of wireless solution products certainly
qualifies. You will notice that several of our plays are in
wireless stocks. That is because we screen for industry strength
as well as individual stock strength. Unfortunately, we do not
have much to go on to qualify this stock as a split candidate.
This Canadian Company has an unlimited number of authorized shares
and there is not any B of D or shareholder meetings that we
currently know about. However, earnings are due to be reported on
April 30th, which could be a good time for a split announcement.
Today's rally could be due in part to a nice order the Company
received yesterday from Rogers AT&T Wireless, Canada's largest
wireless provider. The order is for 10,000 BlackBerry Handhelds.
This RIMM product allows for two-way e-mail communication as well
as full integration of Microsoft Outlook's calendar, tasks and
address book. The stock nearly mirrored the NASDAQ today by
staging a very nice reversal, although it did not take out
yesterday's low. Nevertheless, the very impressive close for RIMM
indicates to us that the short term selling could be over for the
stock. Purchases can be made above short-term support of $135.
There is resistance right at the round number of $150. If the
stock can take out that price with some conviction, a move to the
old high of $175.75 could happen next week. We will update to any
news regarding a BoD or shareholders meeting. Otherwise, look for
an announcement to come with earnings. Exit in front of earnings
unless an announcement comes sooner.
Picked on Mar 16th @ $139.06
Change since picked 0.00
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SPLIT RUN PLAY UPDATES
AXP - American Express $143.75 +10.88 (+17.06)
We sure picked a good time to get a little "defensive" and play a
Dow stock that was well off of its highs. It is not often that
stocks like AXP appear on our play list. Most split plays or
candidates are very fast moving momentum stocks trading at or near
their highs. Obviously, AXP was a huge beneficiary these past few
days, as wave after wave of buy programs hit the Dow stocks. AXP
drove right through the resistance price that we mentioned on
Tuesday. In fact, the $140 level barely even offered intraday
resistance. It is not that surprising, considering we have never
seen a Dow buying frenzy like this. Instead of questioning it we
will just count the money. That said, you probably should raise
your stops to lock in profits. The $140 level, now support, might
be a good place to set a stop for aggressive short-term traders.
Much of the Dow's stellar advance was caused by the selling of
NASDAQ Futures and the purchase of S&P 500 Futures. The bulk of
that activity was due to the unwinding of positions ahead of
"Triple-Witching" expiration tomorrow. If that unwinding is done,
it is entirely possible that the NASDAQ will start outperforming
the Dow again, and AXP might start losing some of its new friends.
If the rally continues, look for the next resistance level to be
hit at around $151, the bottom of an old consolidation area.
Picked on Mar 9th @ $122.75
Change since picked +21.00
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CSCO - Cisco Systems $131.66 +3.05 (-4.71)
Cisco is staying on the cutting edge of networking technology to
provide a solid backbone for Internet growth.
On Wednesday, the WSJ announced that CSCO is planning to
accelerate the pace of its acquisitions, with a goal of 20 to 25
by the end of this year. Speaking at the Merrill Lynch Global
Telecom Conference, Cisco's CFO Larry Carter, said that the
acquisitions would focus on optical and wireless companies.
Optical technology is now being seen as the next big leap in
networking efficiency and capacity for Internet access.
Acquisitions have allowed CSCO to generate terrific revenue
growth, this in turn has kept the stock trending higher. Today the
stock reversed from a five-day pattern of lower prices to close up
3.03 points or 2.35%. After an early sell-off in the first hour of
trading, the stock recovered nicely, with good volume off its
intra-day low of $124.31. The stock did manage to recover above
its support level of $130; the next resistance is at $140. A
break above this level sets the stage for a good entry. Support
can now be identified at the $124 level. Price reversals off this
level present an opportunity for quick profits ahead of the
payable date. Plan to exit in front of the payable date of 3/22,
as is our normal policy.
Picked on Mar 5th @ $137.44
Change since picked -5.77
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DISH - EchoStar Communications Corp. $123.75 -6.25 (-14.25)
Shares of the direct-to-home satellite company, DISH, played part
in a nice recovery today across the board. Boosting the recovery
was an announcement that DISH acquired one of its minor
competitors. Kelly Broadcasting Systems, which is a leading
television provider of foreign language service, will be acquired
by DISH for approximately $35 million in cash and stock. The
acquisition will set DISH ahead of its competitor, DirecTv, as the
leader for foreign-language broadcasts. As for the stock, we
decided to stick with this momentum play after a terrific bounce
up from intra-day lows. Although the first hour of trading saw the
price break below its support of $115, heavy buying throughout the
rest of the day gave us a good indication that prices may recover
more. Today's recovery also managed to break through resistance
(previously support) of $120, which was originally broken by
yesterday's decline. Look for the next level of resistance to be
found higher up at $140. Support remains intact at $120, then
further down at today's low of $110.5. Potential plays may be
present with bounces off support, but we believe the stock remains
poised for further advances. Our stop will now be in place for
price drops below $110.5. Plan to exit the stock ahead of the
payable date of 3/22.
Picked on Mar 7th @ $121.50
Change since picked 2.25
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HAUP - Hauppauge Digital $72.88 +0.88 (+0.06)
Hauppauge went on a wild ride along with many tech issues on the
NASDAQ. The stock opened at an all-time high on Wednesday morning
but quickly reversed course and traded down to close just above
its 5-dma. On Thursday, HAUP traded down to its 20-dma but bounced
back and finished the day with a small gain. The stock is showing
pretty good support considering the market weakness. We are now
just six trading days away from the 3/24 payable date for the 2:1
split. Light support is now $70 with stronger support at $65. Set
stops under $65 to avoid further losses. Resistance is $75 and
then the all-time high of $82. Look for a bounce off of $70 or a
strong move above $75 on heavy volume to open new positions.
Confirm market direction and sector momentum before starting new
plays. Exit no later than 3/23.
Picked on Mar 14th @ $77.00
Change since picked -4.13
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LHSP - Lernout & Hauspie $118.38 +2.19 (-1.57)
After the great early week news of a licensing agreement with AOL
which drove the share price to new highs, LHSP has been a bit of a
dud. LHSP showed remarkable resilience during yesterday's sell
off, only to be largely ignored in today's rally. We are looking
for some more good news at the right time (when the market is
rallying) to propel LHSP to a re-test of its highs. If you were
stopped out of this position as the stock broke support of $120,
you could probably get back in here in the high $110's. The stock
has built some pretty good support in here and it looks as if it
is on the verge of making another nice move. A close above $120
tomorrow on good volume would be a good first step. We would
raise the caution flag if LHSP were to drop below support at $110.
The split is still more than a month away but we would like to
remind you that we will be exiting this position before the April
28th payable date.
Picked on March 12th @ $119.94
Change since picked -1.56
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NOK - Nokia Corp. $202.00 +6.0 (-13.0)
As part of it's commitment to state of the art technology, NOK
announced a joint agreement with Check Point Software, a leader in
securing the Internet, to manufacture and deliver the industry's
most powerful and secure Internet connectivity solutions. The
agreement will provide for more cost effective Internet security.
This will enable each company to tap into the high growth medium
and small business markets. The news announcement came after hours
on Wednesday and may have lead to today's sharp turnaround in
price. After a stiff 15 point decline early in the day, NOK shares
rebounded from this low to close at $202. Earlier this week, we
saw NOK gap through support at $206, this level now becomes
resistance for future price breakouts. A move above this level,
when combined with high volume, would provide for a good entry.
Given a further run-up, resistance should be found at the $216
mark and again at the 52-week high of $227.06. Look to $190, then
$182 for support. Use price reversals off support to signal
potential plays. The payable date for Nokia's split has not been
declared, so use choose your entry and exit points when price
moves through support and resistance.
Picked on Mar 5th @ $221.00
Change since picked -19.00
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PUMA - Puma Technology $175.75 +11.75 (-11.26)
Not surprisingly, the past few days have seen some pretty wild
swings for this wireless communications software company. We are
still anticipating that this "black cat" may still speed into the
fast lane and not only recoup its losses for the week but also
manage a new high. PUMA is a market leader and should reclaim
that position if the NASDAQ correction is over. It has not been
easy to stay with this stock, with the past two days having seen
trading ranges of over 25 points. In fact, the ranges for the
past two days have almost been identical except for one very
important fact: today the stock closed at the high of its range.
If PUMA can follow through tomorrow, look for the stock to
possibly make an impressive comeback. As we have seen, sentiment
can change very rapidly these days. In the meantime, perhaps
traders will start paying attention to all of the good news that
is coming out on PUMA. Yesterday, the Company announced that it
will provide Lycos with 24 hour-a-day alert technology for use on
the Lycos network. The key will be wireless access to these
alerts. Today it was announced that PUMA will have a private
placement of over 500K shares to institutional investors.
Although the price has not yet been set, it should roughly be in
the mid $150's, creating excellent support at that level, this
upcoming event is indicative of strong interest in the Company.
When determining how much to invest in this stock, keep in mind
that the correct stop out point is a full 26 points lower at $150.
We see a possible retest of $200 if PUMA can climb above short
term resistance at $187. The split is just around the corner. We
will be dropping this play no later than March 21st, just before
the split.
Picked on March 5th @ $172.00
Change since picked +3.75
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SFA - Scientific-Atlanta $127.50 +0.25 (-7.94)
Imagine you had been on vacation for a week and had no idea what
the market was doing. When NYSE stocks start having 30% intraday
ranges you know we are in the middle of unprecedented volatility.
SFA was not immune to the incredible shifting sands of this
market. If you look at the change for the week you would figure
that SFA is having a mediocre but not a terrible week. In our last
update we suggested that perhaps a good place for a stop was $131.
If you sold the stock there you would have been able to avoid the
agony of the drop all the way down to $115. Today's early selloff
tested yesterday's low. The subsequent rally has established some
pretty good support in the mid-teens. We need SFA to climb back
over $131 resistance to make us more confident that the stock can
get back into an uptrend. Perhaps the initiation of coverage from
Morgan Stanley Dean Witter with an Outperform rating yesterday
will help. If support at $115 fails, the stock could drop all the
way down to the $100-$110 area, an old trading range. If the
market has really recovered then we may still get a split run for
SFA. We will be ending this play no later than the close of
trading next Friday, 3/24.
Picked on Mar 9th @ $146.19
Change since picked -18.69
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SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAY UPDATES
MSTR - MicroStrategy Inc. $248.63 -20.00 (-64.37)
Man! Talk about ungrateful! The President of MSTR has pledged
$100 million of his own money to launch an online university. It
is his ambitious goal to get some of the "best and brightest" to
lecture for free to millions of online students. His act of
charity was met with a very chilly reception as MSTR was sent
tumbling down over 50 points this morning. Of course his
announcement was not the only factor that caused the stock to
drop, after all, he's not selling ALL of his stock to fund this
venture. After the Genome bubble burst, the next most vulnerable
group to be taken out back and shot were the e-commerce stocks.
The charity announcement was just an excuse to sell into a panic
downward spiral. That was before lunch. After lunch the e-
commerce stocks suddenly looked different (must of been the shrimp
cocktails). MSTR caught back more than 30 points in one of the
biggest reversal days in NASDAQ market history. So now what?
Despite the comeback, MSTR has suffered a lot of technical damage
and it is a very risky stock. We feel that the best way to play
MSTR is to watch the momentum and then go with it. This stock
could go up or down 50 points or more from here very quickly. If
the stock starts to rally look for some resistance first at
$267.63, today's high. If things really get going, resistance can
be found at the old consolidation level in the high $290's. True
support is all the way down at $175, so this probably is not a
play for everybody. Keep an eye out for a Split Trader alert of a
split. MSTR could really move on such an announcement.
Picked on March 14th @ $292.00
Change since picked -43.38
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SPLIT RUN PLAY DROPS
CMVT - Comverse Technology $196.75 +21.75 (-36.88)
Wednesday's price action saw CMVT vigorously break through heavy
support at $200 and close at $176, well below our stop of $198.
Heavy selling in the NASDAQ prompted many of the momentum players
to run for cover this week. When trading stocks that are very
volatile and are pushed up by strong momentum, such as CMVT, it is
always wise to set a stop below heavy support and stick with it.
This stock will likely remain a good momentum play for future
runs; we'll monitor the stock for further opportunities.
Picked on Mar 12th @ $233.63
Profit/Loss = -35.63 (-15%)(calculated at our $198 stop)
Best Profit = -7.94 (-3%)
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INSP - InfoSpace.com $225.06 +29.94 (-19.87)
Over this last week, INSP has shown susceptibility to selling
pressure in technology issues. This was witnessed by price
retracement through major support at $200. There is generally a
good indication of a probable shift in trend when volume picks up
(4.0m vs. 1.9m) on a break through support. Our stop level, which
was placed at $195, offered the stock every opportunity to resume
its momentum run until enough was enough. This stock, along with
many others in the B2B sector are highly volatile and generate
good momentum runs. We'll keep you posted on future plays as they
present themselves.
Picked on Feb 10th @ $191.50
Profit/Loss = +3.50 (+2%) (calculated at our $195 stop)
Best Profit = +85.50 (+45%)
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NEWP - Newport Corporation $140.00 +17.50 (-33.63)
Newport has been having a rough week. The stock was a prime target
for profit taking and it got whacked. Shares of NEWP blew through
all support levels as the fiber optic stocks came under
considerable pressure. Our stops went off on Wednesday, taking us
out of this play for now. The stock is a momentum play, which
means that it flies when the sector is hot, but it also gets
crushed in a negative market. If you did not get stopped out on
Wednesday set tight stops under $138 and look for signs of
strength to close positions.
Picked on Mar 9th @ $178.50
Profit/Loss = -33.50 (-19%) (calculated at our $145 stop)
Best Profit = +4.50 (+3%)
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NTAP - Network Appliance $182.56 +9.50 (-54.31)
On Wednesday, NTAP traded down on heavy volume (8.0m vs. 2.5m) and
closed well below our stop of $188. NTAP proved to be one of
several technology issues that proved to be very
susceptible to corrections in the NASDAQ. One signal of an early
warning sell-off, which prompted our stop of $188, was the volume
increase on Tuesday (4.0m). We remain optimistic with this stock,
and will follow it closely for future opportunities that may re-
occur.
Picked on Mar 5th @ $199.94
Profit/Loss = -11.94 (-6%) (calculated at our $188 stop)
Best Profit = +48.06 (+24%)
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SPLIT CANDIDATE PLAY DROPS
CLRN - Clarent Communications $125.00 -5.50 (-44.25)
Clarent fell as the value call swept through the market. On
Wednesday, shares of CLRN violated major support levels on its way
down to the 20-dma. The recent action in this stock makes a strong
case for using stops, as you should have exited using the $148
stop we set on Tuesday, which would have got you of this one on
Wednesday and avoided over 20 points of downside since then. If
you didn't get out already, place a tight stop under $123 and plan
to exit on strength on Friday.
Picked on Feb 29th @ $109.25
Profit/Loss = +38.75 (+45%) (calculated at our $148 stop)
Best Profit = +69.50 (+64%)
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CREE - Cree Inc. $150.69 -12.31 (-43.31)
CREE is looking pretty sick and it is not where we want to park
our money if this NASDAQ comeback continues. CREE was crushed
over 35 points in the early going. Sure, it had a nice comeback,
but the stock still closed down double digits when so many of the
leaders of the NASDAQ finished substantially up on the day. This
relative weakness forces us to drop CREE as a play.
Picked on Feb 27th @ $175.88
Profit/Loss -25.19 (-14%)
Best Profit +26.13 (+15%)
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FIBR - Osicom Technologies Inc. $120.00 0.00 (-18.88)
As mentioned in Tuesday's write-up, FIBR was a one-day play on
Wednesday, with an exit no later than the close. After several
attempts to close above resistance at $145, the stock finally
dropped below its lower consolidation level of $125. Strong volume
on the upside would have been a good indication for a possible
close above $145, but this never came to fruition. Instead,
trading in its consolidation range showed weaker than average
volume, which was a precursor to the decline. FIBR did not
announce a split Wednesday night. On top of that, the company
failed to announce earnings as expected. Public Relations is one
area where this firm needs to improve.
Picked on Feb 22nd @ $92.56
Profit/Loss = +27.44 (+30%) (calculated at our $120 stop)
Best Profit = +57.19 (+62%)
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SEBL - Siebel Systems $135.38 +9.00 (-27.51)
Siebel continued to slide on Wednesday. The stock was already in
trouble and the negative market sentiment only made matters worse.
Shares of SEBL fell below strong support, falling to a low of $126
on heavy volume. This should have triggered your stops as it did
ours, taking us out of this play at the $135 stop we told you to
set on Tuesday night. Despite the drop over recent days, we have
a nice gain. If you did not get stopped out already, plan to exit
on strength tomorrow. Set tight stops under $133 for added
protection.
Picked on Feb 22nd @ $121.88
Profit/Loss = +13.12 (+11%) (calculated at our $135 stop)
Best Profit = +53.25 (+44%)
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VIGN - Vignette $242.50 -9.75 (-54.50)
Wednesday morning, Vignette announced that its Board of Directors
had set a 3:1 stock split with a payable date of 4/13. The stock
was as high as $287.69 early in the morning but lost its momentum
as the day wore on due to weakness in the e-commerce software
sector. Now that the Company has announced the split, we are
dropping this play, but will look for entries as this stock enters
its split run. If you still have open positions on VIGN, plan to
close them on strength on Friday.
Picked on Feb 27th @ $228.75
Profit/Loss = +23.50 (+10%) (calculated at Wednesday's close of
$252.25)
Best Profit = +73.25 (+32%)
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