AMCC - Applied Micro Circuits $214.00 +11.31 (+15.50)
Applied Micro Circuits provides high-performance, high-bandwidth
silicon solutions used to transport voice and data over optical
networks. The Company's products primarily address the needs of
the fiber optic based WAN and LAN markets. The stock has been on
fire over the last two years, coming from a mere $4 in September
of 1998. Not to shabby, considering that the stock was hit with a
62% correction from a relative high of $158.88 in March. On
Thursday, shares of AMCC hit an all-time high of $215.25 and we
believe that the stock could move higher as we move closer to the
Company's earnings release. In addition, the MACD just turned
positive in the middle of its range. AMCC has embarked on some
solid upside runs in the past when this technical event has
transpired. On August 29th, the shareholders voted to increase
the number of authorized shares to 630 million, giving the BoD
enough shares for a split with only 124.6 million shares
outstanding. The stock price is currently in historic split range
so we may get a split announcement with the earnings release,
scheduled for 10/11 after the bell. From a technical standpoint,
AMCC has support at the 9/1 high of $210.19 with stronger support
at the 5-dma, now up to $202. Resistance is above the all-time
high of $215.25 and then $225. We are looking for entry points on
a bounce from the $202-210 range or a breakout above $215.25 on
volume greater than 3 million shares by midday. We will use stops
at $200 to limit potential losses in these volatile times in tech-
land.
Picked on Sep 28th @ $214.00
Change since picked +0.00
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MBI - MBIA Inc. $71.06 +1.56 (+3.00)
MBIA achieves a new 52-week high on big volume. MBIA, Inc. is
engaged in providing financial guarantee insurance and investment
management and financial services to public finance clients and
financial institutions on a global basis. On Thursday, bolstered
by a broad market rally, shares of MBI were elevated into
uncharted territory on volume that almost doubled the average at
680 thousand shares. This same level was tested earlier this
month, but the low volume was an indication that the stock was not
ready to move higher. Last week the company announced a nice
quarterly dividend of 20.5 cents per share payable in October to
shareholders. We see MBI as a at $125.00 and we
note that the company currently has 200 million shares authorized,
enough for a stock split. The company last affected a split in
1997. A probable time for an announcement might be with earnings
in November. The overall trend of the stock has been a bullish
climb since mid summer and it looks ready to move higher. We now
see the stock encountering resistance at Thursday's new high at
$72.00. Support is now noted at the 5-dma at $69.25, the 10-dma at
$69.00 and the 20-dma at $67.62. Possible entry points for new
plays might be if the stock rockets up to new levels on continued
good volume. A quick bounce off a support level might also be a
buying opportunity. Look for momentum in the Dow (INDU) and the
S&P Insurance Index (IUX) for leadership. The IUX, by the way, is
also embarking into new and higher ground daily as well. We will
place our protective stop below the support layers at $67.50.
Please remember to take a moment and review our IN PLAY section
daily.
Picked on September 28th @ $71.06
Change since picked 0.00
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