Knight Ridder Guides Estimates Higher
By Cindy Christ
Knight-Ridder, the nation's No. 2 newspaper publisher, told
analysts Thursday that earnings would be slightly better than
expected in 2000 thanks to strong gains in advertising
revenues from technology companies.
The company said it's comfortable with earnings estimates in
the range of $3.65 to $3.70 for the current fiscal year.
Analysts polled by First Call/Thomson Financial were looking
for fiscal 2000 revenues of $3.64 a share for the publisher.
At an investor conference in San Jose, Calif., Chairman and
CEO Tony Ridder said ad sales were up 4.7 percent over 1999 in
the first quarter and 5.8 percent in April. For May, he said,
overall ad sales would be even stronger.
Ridder attributed the jump to sustained advertising from dot-
com companies and improved employment advertising in local
markets, especially in San Jose and Contra Costa, Calif.,
located near the heart of the nation's high-technology
industry.
In the Silicon Valley, the Internet has launched an explosion
in high-tech jobs, hyping up demand for employment advertising
for Knight Ridder's Mercury News, which serves San Jose and
the region.
"We now expect overall classified for the year to come in
stronger than what we projected," Ridder said.
In addition, Knight Ridder foresees operating cash flow for
2000 at about $890 million and net free cash flow at roughly
$400 million.
The company also issued guidance on its Internet unit,
KnightRidder.com, and spoke to concerns about consolidation in
the media industry.
Dan Finnigan, president of KnightRidder.com, estimated that
current-year revenue for the company's Internet arm would
exceed $50 million, while expenses would total between $90 and
$100 million.
Finnigan said KnightRidder.com should break even in 2002 if
the company, which targets information to local markets, can
double its current reach and user numbers.
Employees of KnightRidder.com have been granted stock options,
making it a near certainty that the company will eventually go
public.
"My best guess it that that will happen, but given market
conditions, not this year," Ridder said.
With mergers rampant in the industry, Ridder told investors
that his firm has no interest in being acquired or making a
bid for a local paper.
"We may look, but the public market prices are very steep.
Doing a deal that is highly dilutive with no offsetting
business advantage is not a part of our strategy," Ridder
said.
To support its stock price, Knight Ridder said it would
continue to repurchase stock in the open market under a
buyback program authorizing up to 6.1 million shares. Year to
date, the company has repurchased 5.4 million shares.
Investors initially applauded the upbeat view, bidding up
Knight Ridder (KRI) shares to $53.62 in morning trading. But
later in the day, shares backed off to close down $0.56, or
1.1 percent, at $51.25.