Viant Flies After Beating Estimates
By Cindy Christ
Investors' love affair with Internet stocks has entered a new
phase, marked by a gnawing impatience for companies that bleed
red ink.
Gut-wrenching volatility and the deafening mantra mouthed
incessantly by market pundits that Net shares are way overvalued
have left investors no other choice but to issue Internet stocks
an ultimatum: make money, or it's over.
Take the case of Amazon.com, who despite reporting
higher-than-expected losses this week, saw its shares explode more
than 21 percent Thursday after chairman Jeff Bezos assured
shareholders that their devotion would soon be requited.
Losses at Amazon.com, he said, will be a thing of the past when
earnings start rolling in later this year.
So it was no surprise to self-respecting Net investors when shares
in Web consultant Viant Corp. (VIAN) surged more than 20 percent
Friday after crushing fourth-quarter profit forecasts.
Earlier in the week, the company enamored the market by finalizing
the details of their declared 2-for-1 stock split. The payable
date has now been set for Feb. 23 for shareholders of record Feb.
8.
For fourth quarter 1999, Viant reported sales of $23.7 million,
a 26 percent increase sequentially and a 286 percent improvement
over a year ago.
Fourth quarter net income hit $3.7 million, or 14 cents per share,
versus a loss of 21 cents last year. Net income was up 137 percent
over the previous quarter.
For the year ended Dec. 31, net revenues were $61.3 million, a 206
percent increase over last year. Net income for 1999 was $1.4
million, or 6 cents per share, compared to a net loss of 46 cents
a share a year ago.
In addition, gross margin improved to 53 percent, versus 55
percent in the previous quarter and 40 percent a year ago.
Analysts polled by First Call/Thomsen Financial expected Viant to
earn 3 cents in the fourth quarter and lose 11 cents for the year.
Viant also said it signed 10 new clients during the fourth quarter,
ranging from large global companies like Polaroid and Houghton
Mifflin Co. to start ups iCollege and SportsYa.
"We experienced another extremely successful quarter that enabled
us to achieve profitable results for the full year 1999, far ahead
of our original expectations," said Viant president and CEO Bob
Gett in a news release.
Viant's earnings surprise was especially sweet to shareholders
because it wasn't the first time the firm shocked the Street. In
October, Viant set Wall Street a quiver after reporting an
unexpected profit of 6 cents a share. Consensus estimates were
for a loss of 6 cents, and shares gushed 52 percent on the news.
Now that it's soundly profitable, suitors in the analyst community
are singing Viant's praises.
On Friday, SG Cowen reiterated its "buy" rating on the company
and raised 2000 earnings estimates to 36 cents from 16 cents.
Sales were upped to $124.5 million from $116 million.
For 2001, Cowen estimates Viant earnings per share of 50 cents on
sales of $187 million.
Credit Suisse First Boston analysts Mark Wolfenberger and Wayne
Segal chimed in, raising their fiscal 2000 earnings estimates to
37 cents from 25 cents and price target to $125 from $85.
Credit Suisse, which rates Viant a "strong buy," also raised 2000
revenue estimates to $125 million from $118 million, and set 2001
EPS at 50 cents and sales at $185 million.
Boston-based Viant and other Net services firms like Sapient Corp.
(SAPE), USWeb/CKS (USWB) and Razorfish (RAZF), are all benefiting
from an unprecedented push for businesses to establish a Web
presence and electronic commerce strategy.
Viant helps companies get on the Web, providing strategic and
e-commerce consulting, creative design and technology services.
Viant also helps businesses build extranets, which allow companies
to share information with suppliers and other businesses, and
intranets, internal communications networks allowing businesses
to distribute information to employees.
Shares in Viant began trading last June in an Initial Public
Offering priced at $16 per share.
Growth in Internet and e-commerce services is projected to
mushroom tenfold from around $7.8 billion today to $78.6 billion
in 2003, according to market research firm International Data
Corp.
And while there are about 75 Internet services firms specializing
in e-commerce, there's more demand than they can handle.
So what's not to love about Viant?
Admittedly, the attraction pales based on valuation.
Using 2001 estimates of 50 cents and today's $105.63 closing
price, Viant trades at 211 times next year's earnings.
That's no bargain.
But with the real possibility that virtually every business will
need a Website someday, Viant Corp. makes an alluring candidate
for long-term portfolios. And if the Nasdaq continues its unstable
ways, quick-footed investors may get a better chance to tie the
knot with this proven winner.